Strategies to Mitigate Risk and Uncertainty in the Supply Chain

In today's dynamic global market, leaders involved in procurement and supply chain management face unprecedented challenges. Recent disruptions and changes have highlighted the importance of resilience and adaptability in these sectors. With risks escalating and the future looking uncertain, leaders are compelled to reevaluate their strategies.

This article explores the evolving landscape of procurement risks, drawing on insights from the latest industry research.

Understanding the New Risk Landscape

Procurement departments have gone through several years of disruptions, changes, and increased prices. This has led procurement and supply chain leaders to pursue new technological capabilities, as well as to introduce new efficiencies.

Unfortunately, studies suggest that the current period of risk and uncertainty is not going away anytime soon.

CPOs Predict Ongoing Risks

According to a recent survey by Deloitte, CPOs expect risk to remain high for the foreseeable future. Specifically, 70% of the respondents to the survey indicated that procurement-related risk and supply chain disruption had increased in the previous 12 months "on top of an already elevated baseline."

Furthermore, 43% of CPOs said that overall procurement risk has increased significantly. This number was up 23% compared to the same study conducted in 2021.

The top two issues that had a high or moderate impact over the previous 12 months for these leaders were inflation (89%) and supply shortages (79%). Additionally, only 25% of firms said they could identify and predict supply disruptions in a timely manner, "to a large extent."

Global Supply Networks Are Continuing to Shift

Global supply networks have been changing since the COVID-19 pandemic, and they continue to change amid shifts in power around the world. According to an article in the Wall Street Journal, importers are seeking alternatives to China, turning to countries like Vietnam, India, and Mexico, albeit facing new supply chain challenges.

Mexico has recently overtaken China as the largest trading partner of the United States, with significant increases in freight and logistics activities including a notable surge in heavy-duty tractor orders. However, disruptions, particularly at the U.S.-Mexico border due to sporadic closures for migration control, pose ongoing challenges.

Ocean carriers are forced to reroute, extending delivery times and disrupting pre-planned schedules and shipping rates. These geopolitical and logistical disruptions signify a broader impact on the reshaping of global trade and supply chain dynamics.

Procurement Strategies to Mitigate Risk and Uncertainty

Procurement and supply chain leaders need to employ strategic measures to combat the daunting challenges posed by global market fluctuations, inflation, and supply chain disruptions. These strategies not only aim to mitigate risks but also enhance the resilience and adaptability of supply chains.

Diversifying the Supplier Base

One effective strategy to mitigate risk is diversifying the supplier base. By broadening the pool of suppliers across different geographical regions, companies can reduce their dependency on a single source or market.

This approach is particularly critical in light of the shifting global trade networks and the search for alternatives to traditional manufacturing hubs like China. Expanding to suppliers in countries such as Vietnam, India, and Mexico can provide a buffer against regional disruptions and geopolitical tensions.

Leveraging Technology for Better Forecasting

Technology plays a pivotal role in enhancing the visibility and agility of supply chains. Advanced analytics, AI, and machine learning tools enable procurement leaders to better predict supply disruptions and respond proactively.

Investing in digital solutions that offer real-time data analysis and forecasting capabilities can significantly improve a company's ability to anticipate and react to supply chain uncertainties.

Building Strong Relationships with Suppliers

Fostering strong, collaborative relationships with suppliers is crucial for navigating periods of volatility and uncertainty. By developing strategic partnerships, companies can ensure better communication, reliability, and mutual support during supply shortages or disruptions.

Engaging in long-term contracts and collaborative planning can also help lock in supplies and prices, mitigating the impact of inflation.

Enhancing Inventory Management

Improving inventory management is another vital strategy for managing supply chain risks. By adopting just-in-time (JIT) inventory practices cautiously and maintaining strategic stockpiles for critical components, companies can balance the need for efficiency with the necessity for resilience.

Effective inventory management helps in maintaining the flow of goods even when there are unexpected disruptions in the supply chain.

Investing in Supply Chain Flexibility

Finally, building a flexible supply chain is essential for withstanding the test of various risks and uncertainties. This involves not just diversifying the supplier base but also reassessing logistics strategies, exploring different transportation modes, and optimizing the supply chain network design.

A flexible supply chain can quickly adapt to changes, whether it's rerouting shipments to avoid delays or scaling operations up or down based on demand fluctuations.

Take Steps to Mitigate Risk

By taking a proactive and strategic approach, procurement and supply chain leaders can better prepare for and manage the complexities of today's global market. These strategies not only aim to mitigate current risks but also position companies to thrive amidst future disruptions.


To learn more about how you can mitigate risk in the supply chain, don't miss ProcureCon Supply Chain 2024. It's happening from August 5th to 6th at the Westin Buckhead in Atlanta, Georgia.

Download the agenda and register for the event today.